Kyle Leahy
RHP
STL
11
HRs Allowed
9.5%
HR Rate (Pool)
18.4%
Overall HR/FB
5.26
FIP
4.46
xFIP
+0.81
FIP-xFIP Gap
HR Vulnerability Snapshot
?Pitcher's HR-relevant profile. Red = HR-favorable for batters, blue = HR-resistant. Same vocabulary as batter cards.
Pool + today context
0.85
Pool HR/G ?Home runs allowed per tracked LongDong game day. Used when season HR/9 is unavailable.
18.4%
Overall HR/FB ?Pitcher's overall season HR-per-fly-ball rate. Matchup rows may show handedness splits such as vs LHH or vs RHH.
85th pctile
0.0%
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
84.4%
Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
·
FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
5.26
FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
84th pctile
4.46
xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
+0.81
FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
85th pctile
9.5%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
116
Pool Matchups
11
HRs Allowed (Pool)
5
Top-15 Matchups
0
HRs to Top-15
9.5%
HR Rate
Recent HR Splits
| Window | Matchups | Game Days | HR | HR Rate | HR/Game | Avg Max EV | Avg HR EV | Avg HR LA | Avg HR Dist | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 7 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 5.9% | 0.5 | 101.3mph | 114.6mph | 30.0° | 444ft | Down -3.6pp |
| Last 15 | 35 | 4 | 3 | 8.6% | 0.75 | 100.8mph | 109.4mph | 26.7° | 410ft | Flat -0.9pp |
| Last 30 | 53 | 6 | 5 | 9.4% | 0.83 | 100.5mph | 109.3mph | 27.0° | 409ft | Flat -0.1pp |
Batted-Ball Damage
101.1
Avg Max EV
114.6
Max EV Allowed
76
Hard-Hit Proxy · 84.4%
0
Barrel Flags · 0.0%
106.9
Avg HR EV
29.9°
Avg HR Launch
403
Avg HR Distance
| Date | Batter | Max EV | HR EV | HR LA | HR Dist | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-05 | Sal Stewart | 104.3mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-05 | Nathaniel Lowe | 103.9mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-05 | Blake Dunn | 103.3mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-05 | Spencer Steer | 101.8mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-05 | Tyler Stephenson | 100.9mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-05 | Eugenio Suárez | 100.2mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-05 | JJ Bleday | 100.0mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-05-30 | Pete Crow-Armstrong | 114.6mph | 114.6mph | 30° | 444ft | Yes |
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
HRs Allowed
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Stadium | EV | Angle | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-30 | Pete Crow-Armstrong | #70 | 57 | Busch Stadium | 114.6mph | 30.0° | 444ft |
| 2026-05-23 | Elly De La Cruz | #18 | 71 | Great American Ball Park | 106.7mph | 25.0° | 387.0ft |
| 2026-05-23 | Nathaniel Lowe | #22 | 69 | Great American Ball Park | 106.8mph | 25.0° | 398.0ft |
| 2026-05-16 | Jac Caglianone | #56 | 58 | Busch Stadium | 113.4mph | 30.0° | 428.0ft |
| 2026-05-10 | Nick Castellanos | #163 | 23 | Petco Park | 105.2mph | 25.0° | 389.0ft |
| 2026-05-04 | Brice Turang | #67 | 38 | Busch Stadium | 105.3mph | 28.0° | 414.0ft |
| 2026-04-28 | Oneil Cruz | #41 | 61 | PNC Park | 106.6mph | 28.0° | 414.0ft |
| 2026-04-28 | Ryan O'Hearn | #143 | 37 | PNC Park | 104.6mph | 26.0° | 398.0ft |
| 2026-04-17 | Yordan Alvarez | #20 | 71 | Minute Maid Park | 104.2mph | 42.0° | 357.0ft |
| 2026-04-17 | Jose Altuve | #127 | 42 | Minute Maid Park | 105.2mph | 38.0° | 384.0ft |
| 2026-04-05 | Kerry Carpenter | #161 | 47 | Comerica Park | 103.3mph | 32.0° | 425.0ft |
Pitch Arsenal
| Pitch | Pitches | Usage | RV/100 | Avg EV | Avg LA | HRs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fastball | 298 | 29.5% | +1.1 | 90.4 | 20.5° | 4 |
| Slider | 159 | 15.8% | -1.3 | 82.4 | 16.1° | 0 |
| Curveball | 155 | 15.4% | +0.7 | 87.6 | -3.7° | 1 |
| Sinker | 145 | 14.4% | +0.2 | 84.5 | 9.3° | 1 |
| Sweeper | 130 | 12.9% | +0.7 | 80.3 | 19.8° | 1 |
| Changeup | 122 | 12.1% | +2.5 | 83.5 | 3.0° | 1 |
Quality of Contact
Barrel%
0.0%
HardHit%
84.4%
All Scored Matchups
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Tier | Form | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-05 | Noelvi Marte | #235 | 16 | ⚪ D | · — | · |
| 2026-06-05 | Blake Dunn | #179 | 33 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-05 | Tyler Stephenson | #144 | 40 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-05 | Eugenio Suárez | #134 | 42 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-05 | Sal Stewart | #94 | 47 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-05 | Spencer Steer | #65 | 54 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-05 | Nathaniel Lowe | #22 | 67 | 🔵 C+ | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-05 | JJ Bleday | #10 | 73 | 🟡 B | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-30 | Nico Hoerner | #213 | 33 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-30 | Carson Kelly | #195 | 36 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-30 | Alex Bregman | #170 | 40 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-30 | Dansby Swanson | #130 | 46 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-30 | Seiya Suzuki | #122 | 47 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-30 | Moisés Ballesteros | #80 | 55 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-30 | Pete Crow-Armstrong | #70 | 57 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-05-30 | Michael Busch | #32 | 64 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-30 | Ian Happ | #8 | 78 | 🟡 B | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-23 | P.J. Higgins | #280 | 17 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-23 | TJ Friedl | #201 | 37 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-23 | Will Benson | #80 | 54 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-23 | Matt McLain | #79 | 54 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-23 | Blake Dunn | #78 | 54 | 🟠 C | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-23 | Nathaniel Lowe | #22 | 69 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-05-23 | Sal Stewart | #19 | 71 | 🟡 B | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-23 | Elly De La Cruz | #18 | 71 | 🟡 B | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-05-23 | JJ Bleday | #6 | 78 | 🟡 B | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-22 | TJ Friedl | #203 | 29 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-22 | Ke'Bryan Hayes | #147 | 36 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-22 | Matt McLain | #124 | 40 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-22 | Tyler Stephenson | #88 | 44 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-22 | Eugenio Suárez | #80 | 45 | ⚪ D | · — | · |
| 2026-05-22 | Spencer Steer | #25 | 61 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-22 | Elly De La Cruz | #16 | 68 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-22 | Nathaniel Lowe | #11 | 70 | 🟡 B | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-22 | Sal Stewart | #10 | 70 | 🟡 B | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-16 | Kyle Isbel | #180 | 33 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-16 | Maikel Garcia | #160 | 36 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-16 | Salvador Perez | #115 | 45 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-16 | Isaac Collins | #107 | 46 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-16 | Vinnie Pasquantino | #100 | 47 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-16 | Carter Jensen | #87 | 50 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-16 | Jac Caglianone | #56 | 58 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-05-16 | Michael Massey | #34 | 65 | 🔵 C+ | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-05-16 | Bobby Witt Jr. | #33 | 65 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-10 | Jake Cronenworth | #227 | 13 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-10 | Fernando Tatis Jr. | #214 | 15 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-10 | Xander Bogaerts | #177 | 21 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-10 | Nick Castellanos | #163 | 23 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-05-10 | Ramón Laureano | #162 | 23 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-10 | Jackson Merrill | #138 | 26 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-10 | Miguel Andujar | #105 | 32 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-10 | Gavin Sheets | #87 | 34 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-10 | Manny Machado | #76 | 36 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-05-04 | Brandon Lockridge | #155 | 17 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-04 | David Hamilton | #152 | 18 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-04 | Luis Rengifo | #123 | 27 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-04 | William Contreras | #119 | 28 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-04 | Garrett Mitchell | #105 | 30 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-04 | Sal Frelick | #94 | 33 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-04 | Jake Bauers | #72 | 37 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-04 | Brice Turang | #67 | 38 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-05-04 | Gary Sánchez | #52 | 41 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-28 | Nick Gonzales | #221 | 10 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-28 | Nick Yorke | #186 | 25 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-28 | Spencer Horwitz | #183 | 27 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-04-28 | Bryan Reynolds | #182 | 27 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-28 | Konnor Griffin | #177 | 28 | ⚪ D | · — | · |
| 2026-04-28 | Marcell Ozuna | #161 | 32 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-28 | Ryan O'Hearn | #143 | 37 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-04-28 | Brandon Lowe | #85 | 48 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-28 | Oneil Cruz | #41 | 61 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-04-22 | Leo Jiménez | #244 | 15 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-22 | Javier Sanoja | #208 | 23 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-22 | Heriberto Hernández | #185 | 27 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-22 | Jakob Marsee | #154 | 33 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-22 | Liam Hicks | #139 | 35 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-22 | Agustín Ramírez | #137 | 36 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-22 | Xavier Edwards | #108 | 40 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-22 | Otto Lopez | #48 | 55 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-22 | Owen Caissie | #34 | 59 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-17 | Jeremy Peña | #199 | 27 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-17 | Yainer Diaz | #197 | 28 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-17 | Isaac Paredes | #171 | 33 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-17 | Joey Loperfido | #135 | 40 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-17 | Jose Altuve | #127 | 42 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-04-17 | Carlos Correa | #111 | 45 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-17 | Christian Walker | #49 | 61 | 🔵 C+ | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-17 | Cam Smith | #38 | 65 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-17 | Yordan Alvarez | #20 | 71 | 🟡 B | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-04-11 | Abraham Toro | #210 | 27 | ⚪ D | · — | · |
| 2026-04-11 | Ceddanne Rafaela | #205 | 34 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-11 | Jarren Duran | #196 | 37 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-11 | Alex Bregman | #180 | 35 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-11 | Romy Gonzalez | #178 | 38 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-11 | Roman Anthony | #171 | 39 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-11 | Carlos Narvaez | #170 | 36 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-11 | Trevor Story | #169 | 36 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-11 | Wilyer Abreu | #55 | 44 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-05 | Gleyber Torres | #222 | 31 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-05 | Zach McKinstry | #212 | 35 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-05 | Javier Baez | #211 | 30 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-05 | Colt Keith | #209 | 35 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-04-05 | Wenceel Perez | #208 | 38 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-05 | Dillon Dingler | #207 | 34 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-05 | Spencer Torkelson | #174 | 44 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-05 | Kerry Carpenter | #161 | 47 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-04-05 | Riley Greene | #127 | 49 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-03-30 | Tyrone Taylor | #222 | 23 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-03-30 | Jeff McNeil | #209 | 32 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-03-30 | Starling Marte | #191 | 32 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-03-30 | Mark Vientos | #185 | 39 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-03-30 | Brandon Nimmo | #184 | 37 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-03-30 | Francisco Lindor | #183 | 39 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-03-30 | Pete Alonso | #160 | 51 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-03-30 | Brett Baty | #138 | 40 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-03-30 | Juan Soto | #125 | 52 | 🟠 C | ❄ COLD | · |